马锋 副教授

博士生导师

硕士生导师

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科学研究

论文成果

  • 英文期刊

    [1]Wang, Y., Ma, F., Wei, Y., et al. Forecasting realized volatility in a changing world: A dynamic model averaging approach. Journal of Banking & Finance, 2016, 64:136-149.

    [2]Pu, W., Chen, Y., Ma, F. Forecasting the realized volatility in Chinese stock market: further evidence. Applied Economics, 2016, 48:3316-3330.

    [3]Li, L., Ma, F., Wang, Y. Forecasting excess stock returns with crude oil market data. Energy Economics, 2015, 48: 316-324.

    [4]Ma, F., Li, L., Liu, Z., et al. Forecasting realized volatility A Markov regime switching approach. Applied economic letters, 2015, 22(17): 1361-1365.

    [5]Liu, Z., Ma, F., Wang, X., et al. Forecasting the Realized Volatility: the Role of Jumps. Applied economics letters, 2015,23:736-739.

    [6]Ma, F., Zhang, Q., Chen, P., et al. Multifractal detrended cross-correlation analysis of the oil-dependent economies: Evidence from the West Texas intermediate crude oil and the GCC stock markets. Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, 2014, 410: 154-166.

    [7]Ma, F., Wei, Y., Huang, D., et al. Which is the better forecasting model? A comparison between HAR-RV and multifractality volatility. Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, 2014, 405: 171-180.

    [8]Ma, F., Wei, Y., Huang, D. Multifractal detrended cross-correlation analysis between the Chinese stock market and surrounding stock markets. Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, 2013, 392(7): 1659-1670.

    [9]Ma, F., Wei, Y., Huang, D., et al. Cross-correlations between West Texas Intermediate crude oil and the stock markets of the BRIC. Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, 2013, 392(21): 5356-5368.

    [10]Wang, Y., Liu, L, Ma, F., Wu, C. What the investors need to know about forecasting oil market volatility. Energy Economics,2016,53:128-139.

    [11]Zhuang, X., Wei, Y., Ma, F. Multifractality, efficiency analysis of Chinese stock market and its cross-correlation with WTI crude oil price. Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, 2015, 430: 101-113.

    [12]Wang, Y., Liu, L, Ma, F., Wu, C. What the investors need to know about forecasting oil market volatility. Energy Economics, 2016,57:128-139.

    主要中文期刊(含录用)

    [1]魏宇,马锋,黄登仕. 基于多分形波动率测度的中国股市波动率预测模型研究及MCS检验,管理科学学报,2015,18(8):61-72.

    [2]马锋,魏宇,黄登仕. 基于vine copula方法的股市组合动态VaR测度及预测模型研究,系统工程理论与实践,2015,35(1):26-36.(入选F5000)

    [3]马锋,魏宇,黄登仕. 基于跳跃和符号跳跃变差的HAR-RV预测模型研究及其MCS检验,系统管理学报,2015,24(5):700-710.

    [4]马锋,魏宇,黄登仕,夏泽安. 基于马尔科夫状态转换和跳跃的高频波动率模型预测研究,系统工程,2016,1,10-16.

    [5]蒲旺,陈鹏,马锋,黄登仕. 基于copula方法的国际原油价格和新能源公司股价动态尾部相关性分析,中国金融学,2015,17:44-55.

    [6]马锋,魏宇,黄登仕. 高频波动率预测模型研究:基于符号收益和符号跳跃变差的视角,管理科学学报,2016,已录用,排队发表.

    [7]徐伟举,马锋,魏宇. 基于不同跳跃检验下的高频波动率模型预测研究,系统工程,2015年,已录用,排队发表.

    [8]马锋,魏宇,黄登仕. 隔夜收益率能提高高频波动率模型的预测能力吗?(2014年第十二届金融系统工程与风险管理国际年会,优秀论文,系统工程学报,已录用,排队发表)

    工作论文

    [1]Ma, F., Wei, Y., Huang, D. Forecasting the realized volatility of the future oil market: a new insight. Journal of Forecasting, 2016, revised.

    [2]Ma, F., Wei, Y., Huang, D. Forecasting the volatility of crude oil futures using high-frequency data: Further evidence. Empirical Economics, 2015,revised and under review.

    [3]Ma, F., Wei, Y., Huang, D. Is low-frequency data really uninformative? An empirical study based on forecast combination. Economic Modelling, 2015, revised and under review.

    [4]Liu, J.,Wei, Y., Ma, F. Forecasting the realized range volatility of the future oil market using dynamic averaging and selection models. Economic Modelling, 2016, revised and under review.

    [5]Ma, F.,Wahab, M.I.M.,Liu, J., Wei, Y.Is economic policy uncertainty important to forecast the realized volatility of crude oil futures? Applied Economics, 2015,under review

    [6]Ma, F.,Wahab, M.I.M. What we will find about when we talk about forecasting the volatility with regimes? submitting to EJOR

    [7]Xu, W., Ma, F., Wei, Y. Is investor sentiment really helpful to forecast the realized range-based volatility. Applied Economics Letters, 2016, under review

    [8]Ma, F.Forecasting the realized volatility: Does regimes matter?submitting to Economics Letters.

    [9]Chen, W., Ma, F. Forecasting of the realized volatility the role of high order moments. submitting to Economic modelling.

    [10]Liu,Z.,Ye, Y.,Ma,F.Can economic policy uncertainty help to forecast the stock return volatility a multi-fractal perspective.Physica A, revised.

    [10]Ma, F.,Chao, Y., Wei, Y.,Huang, D. Jump, Cojump and Variance Risk Premium.

    [11]Ma, F.,Wang, Y., Wei, Y.,Huang, D. Forecasting the oil price volatility: Does the volatility of realized volatility matter?

    [12]Ma,F., Chen, W. Realized volatility and economic policy uncertainty: a threshold perspective.

    [13]马锋.已实现和已实现极差波动率预测模型研究:基于马尔科夫转换机制的研究视角.

    [14]雷立坤,魏宇,马锋.基于MIDAS-GARCH的政治经济不确定与中国股市波动率预测研究.

    [15]陈王,马锋.高频波动模型在中国股市中的风险预测能力研究.

    [16]曹阳,魏宇,马锋.沪深股市共同跳跃检验及套利研究.


科研项目

  • 科研项目信息

    [1]基于高频、超高频数据下的波动率模型预测研究,西南交通大学研究生创新实验实践项目(项目编号:YC201405118),主持人.

    [2]金融危机下原油价格冲击与金融市场波动及其联动复杂性–基于多分形机制转换波动率模型和藤copula方法的研究,国家自然基金(项目编号:71371157),主研.

    [3]基于混频技术和组合预测的资产复杂性相关性密度预测研究:短期冲击、长期影响与机制转换,国家自然基金(项目编号:7161145),主研.

    参与学术会议

    [1]2016年第十四届金融系统工程与风险管理国际年会,黑龙江哈尔滨, 2016. 报告论文:已实现和已实现极差波动率预测模型研究:基于马尔科夫转换机制的研究视角.

    [2]2016大数据驱动的管理与决策研究学术研讨会,中国香港,香港中文大学.

    [3]2015年第十三届金融系统工程与风险管理国际年会,安徽芜湖, 2015.

    报告论文:高频波动率预测模型研究:基于符号收益和符号跳跃变差的视角

    [4]2014年第十二届金融系统工程与风险管理国际年会,山西太原,2014,获优秀论文奖. 报告论文:隔夜收益率能提高高频波动率模型的预测能力吗?

    [5]2014 China International Conference in Finance, 成都, 2014.

    [6]19th Annual Workshop on Economic Science with Heterogeneous Interacting Agents, 天津,2014.报告论文:Which is the better forecasting model? A comparison between HAR-RV and multifractality volatility.


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